Germany's Elderly Population Projected to Reach 25% by 2035

Growing Retiree Population
The percentage of retirees in Germany is expected to hit 20% in 2024, largely due to the baby boomer generation entering retirement. Projections suggest this trend will persist until 2038, with the number of individuals over 67 anticipated to reach between 20.5 and 21.3 million, an increase of up to 4.5 million compared to current figures.
Workforce Strain
Currently, there are 33 retirees for every 100 working-age individuals. By 2070, this ratio could rise to 43% under optimistic scenarios, or escalate to 61% if the birth rate continues to decline and immigration slows, thereby exerting pressure on the labor market and pension systems.
Rise in Those Aged Over 80
Statistical projections indicate a substantial increase in the population aged over 80, from 6.1 million in 2024 to between 8.5 and 9.8 million by 2050, potentially reaching 7.4 to 10 million by 2070. This trend presents growing challenges for healthcare and social services.
Declining Working-Age Population
The working-age population is projected to decrease significantly, from 51.2 million in 2024 to 45.3 million by 2070 if immigration levels remain steady, and could fall to 37.1 million in scenarios with reduced immigration. Experts believe that any sharp decline can only be addressed through increased birth rates and enhanced immigration policies.
Demographic Challenges Ahead
These demographic changes signal escalating pressures on pensions, healthcare, and social infrastructure, underscoring the need for sustainable policies to maintain a balance between the elderly and working-age populations in the future.
