Oil Prices Steady as Investors Monitor International Negotiations and Supply Trends

Oil markets showed stability in trading on Wednesday, recovering from a nearly 1% decline, as concerns about a widening supply-demand imbalance restricted significant price increases. Investors are closely watching diplomatic developments, especially the ongoing peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.
Brent crude futures experienced a minor uptick of 0.1%, stabilizing at $62.00 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude also rose by the same percentage to $58.32 per barrel.
In its market analysis, ING Bank cautioned that Russian oil supplies continue to pose a risk to market balance, despite expectations of an overall surplus. The bank noted that "Russian oil exports transported by sea are holding steady," but mentioned that "these barrels are increasingly having difficulty finding buyers," which could lead to a reduction in Russian production if demand remains low.
On the political front, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that Ukraine and its European partners will soon present updated documents regarding the peace plan to the United States, following intensified diplomatic efforts. Analysts anticipate that any potential peace agreement might result in a relaxation of international sanctions on Russian companies, potentially allowing for an increase in currently restricted oil supplies.
From another region, the U.S. Energy Information Administration has raised its forecast for U.S. oil production in 2025 by 20,000 barrels per day, projecting an average of 13.61 million barrels per day, a record high compared to previous estimates. Conversely, the agency has lowered its production forecast for 2026 by approximately 50,000 barrels per day to 13.53 million barrels per day.
