1960s Population Prediction Raises Concerns Over Potential Civilization Challenges by 2026

A study published in November 1960 in the journal "Science" by researchers Heinz von Foerster, Patricia Moore, and Lawrence Amoy cautioned against a dire scenario where escalating population numbers would strain natural resources.
Rather than focusing on catastrophic events like nuclear war or natural disasters, the researchers highlighted a gradual process: increasing population and life expectancy could outpace the Earth's capacity to provide adequate food and energy.
In 1960, the global population was approximately 3 billion; today, it has exceeded 8 billion, echoing the warnings made by the researchers nearly 65 years ago.
However, contemporary experts project that the global population is expected to peak around 2080, and advancements in technology and agriculture have alleviated many previous concerns, at least for the time being.
This notion has historical roots, tracing back to the 18th century when British economist Thomas Malthus warned that population growth could outstrip food production, potentially resulting in mass famines.
Despite these historical predictions, the consensus among most scientists today is that humanity does not face an imminent collapse, but rather complex challenges such as climate change, resource distribution, and social inequality, which can be addressed through informed political, technological, and social strategies.
Notably, reports indicate that some affluent individuals, including Mark Zuckerberg, have invested in underground shelters and remote properties in anticipation of potential global crises.
